Tuesday, May 10, 2011

Silver Backwardation Continues to Worsen


If the silver bubble has popped, why does silver's backwardation continue to worsen?  Front month silver is now trading at a $1.28 premium to the Dec 2015 contract.  For those new to the silver market, commodities typically trade at a premium for farther out months, as storage, insurance, etc must be paid to hold the commodity.  Premiums for front month contracts means the market is in  backwardation.  This means that demand for physical silver remains exceptionally strong, and long term distrust for the US dollar remains high.
 

Contract


LastChange

May 2011


 37.110+1.827


Jun 2011


 37.110+1.823


Jul 2011


 37.116+1.829


Sep 2011


 37.125+1.831


Dec 2011


 37.118+1.835


Jan 2012


 37.100       +1.835


Mar 2012


 37.063+1.840


May 2012


 37.020+1.845


Jul 2012


 36.978+1.851


Sep 2012


 36.917+1.851


Dec 2012


 36.871+1.879


Jan 2013


 36.839+1.880


Mar 2013


 36.769+1.884


Jul 2013


 36.658+1.891


Dec 2013


 36.501+1.894


Jul 2014


 36.313+1.899


Dec 2014


 36.156+1.899


Jul 2015


 35.981+1.879


Dec 2015


 35.831+1.869