Monday, July 18, 2011

Ron Paul Survey Results

Results are in for The Doc's Ron Paul Survey!

The purpose of our survey was to determine what percent of those who plan on voting for Ron Paul in 2012 also voted for him in 2008. 
In other words, what percent of those who will vote for Ron Paul in 2012 have "woken up" in the past 3 years?
If most people who plan on voting for Ron Paul in 2012 also voted for him in 2008, he is unlikely to receive the Republican nomination.  Clearly, for Ron Paul to be elected in 2012, a much larger portion of the American sheeple must have woken up than had by 2008.

The results of the survey are simply amazing.

Keep in mind that this survey was conducted on SilverDoctors, a website that promotes sound money such as gold and silver, so due to sample bias these results cannot be used directly to determine the percentage of the general population that might vote for Ron Paul in 2012. (As the results will show, SilverDoctors' readers support for Ron Paul is nearly unanimous)
What the survey IS designed to do is give a glimpse of the percent increase of Ron Paul supporters today vs. in 2008.

Thus far (we will continue collecting results, if you haven't participated yet and would like to, click here) over
250 votes have been collected.  While we were hoping for a stronger survey participation, we have collected a large enough sample to make several interesting observations.

First, the raw Results:

 I voted for Ron Paul in 2008 and plan to again in 2012  82

 32.8% 
 I voted for Ron Paul in 2008 but would not vote for him again  1
 0.40% 
 I did not vote for Ron Paul in 2008 but plan to in 2012  160

 64.00% 
 I would never vote for Ron Paul  7

 1.33% 

Analysis:
1. Statistically, all responders who voted for Ron Paul in 2008 plan on voting for him again in 2012. (Only 1/250 responders voted for Paul in 2008 but would not vote for him again) This came in as expected.

2. 7 (1.33%) responded that they would never vote for Ron Paul.  Again, this was expected due to population bias.

3. 64% of all surveyed DID NOT vote for Ron Paul in 2008, BUT PLAN TO in 2012!
What does this mean?  This means that of those who plan to vote for Ron Paul in 2012, only 1/3 also voted for him in 2008!  Stated another way, 3x as many surveyed plan on voting for Ron Paul in 2012 as voted for him in 2008!

The results indicate that Ron Paul's voter base appears to have tripled from 2008.  With nearly a year remaining until many of the 2012 primary elections,  look for sheeple to continue to wake up regarding the US fiscal/ debt crisis and Paul's voter base to only increase from here.

2008 Republican primary results indicate that Paul carried 5-10% of the vote in most states.
A tripling from these levels would bring Paul's average to 15-30% of the vote in the majority of states. 
This would make Paul a contender in many states, again with a year remaining for this trend to continue.

It appears that those who wish to marginalize the Ron Paul campaign as was done in 2008 may just be forced to address him as a serious CONTENDER for 2012.