Thursday, February 23, 2012

Silver Open Interest Back Above 110,000

After seemingly left for dead (or the HKMEx) under 90,000 contracts in the wake of the MFGlobal bankruptcy/ client theft, open interest in silver has finally regained the 110,000 level.  Yesterday's Open Interest settled at 110,583 contracts.  Not to get too ahead of ourselves, the 20,000 contract increase in open interest is not all due to new longs standing for delivery, much of it is due to the massive recent increase in the cartel's naked short position, which as we have documented, has nearly doubled just in the past 4 weeks
That being said, contrary to several recent articles stating otherwise, silver does remain in a slight backwardation.  Silver's backwardation has however been noticeably easing over the past few months, and only the last 4 traded months, beginning with the July 15 contract remain in backwardation.
With silver threatening to break out past $35 and out of its 9 month downtrend, the physical market is likely to again tighten when traders again feel the rush of a major move up in the shiny metal.


Daily Settlements for Silver Futures (FINAL)Trade Date: 02/22/2012
Month




Settle Estimated
Volume
Prior Day
Open Interest
FEB 12




34.239 36 94
MAR 12




34.254 62,556 29,215
APR 12




34.289 114 57
MAY 12




34.328 26,179 36,491
JLY 12




34.382 2,253 8,988
SEP 12




34.421 201 3,852
DEC 12




34.474 2,101 14,165
JAN 13




34.478 - 90
MAR 13




34.486 24 1,573
MAY 13




34.488 - 1,088
JLY 13




34.487 - 3,032
SEP 13




34.471 - 180
DEC 13




34.448 41 8,461
JLY 14




34.366 - 1,040
DEC 14




34.293 30 1,368
JLY 15




34.191 - 227
DEC 15




34.128 20 619
JLY 16




33.984 - 38
DEC 16




33.884 - 5
Total





93,555 110,583