Thursday, February 23, 2012

Eric Sprott: Unintended Consequences

Eric Sprott discusses the Unintended Consequences of the QE to Infinity...AND BEYOND!!!.... specifically pertaining to the unlimited swap agreements the Fed has made with the ECB.  The game-plan is now crystal clear.  The Fed will provide limitless backdoor swaps to print enough to keep the PIIGS dept in a continual near-default stage, while 3,000 tonnes of Italian, Greek, and Portuguese gold reserves are removed from their rightful owners in exchange for another hit of heroin...er...successful bond auction.

By Eric Sprott & David Baker:
2012 is proving to be the 'Year of the Central Bank'. It is an exciting celebration of all the wonderful maneuvers central banks can employ to keep the system from falling apart. Western central banks have gone into complete overdrive since last November, convening, colluding and printing their way out of the mess that is the Eurozone. The scale and frequency of their maneuvering seems to increase with every passing week, and speaks to the desperate fragility that continues to define much of the financial system today.
The first major maneuver took place on November 30, 2011, when the world's G6 central banks (the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank [ECB], the Swiss National Bank, and the Bank of Canada) announced "coordinated actions to enhance their capacity to provide liquidity support to the global financial system".1 Long story short, in an effort to avert a total collapse in the European banking system, the US Fed agreed to offer unlimited US dollar swap agreements with the other central banks. These US dollar swaps allow the other central banks, most notably the ECB, to borrow US dollars from the Federal Reserve and lend them to their respective national banks to meet withdrawals and make debt payments. The best part about these swaps is that they are limitless in scope - meaning that until February 1, 2013, the Federal Reserve is, and will be, prepared to lend as many US dollars as it takes to keep the financial system from imploding.
It sounds absolutely great, and the Europeans should be nothing but thankful, except for the tiny little fact that to supply these unlimited US dollars, the Federal Reserve will have to print them out of thin air.
Don't worry, it gets better. Since unlimited US swap lines weren't enough to solve the problem, roughly three weeks later, on December 21, 2011, the European Central Bank launched the first tranche of its lauded Long Term Refinancing Operation (LTRO). This is the program where the ECB flooded 523 separate European banks with 489 billion euros worth of 3-year loans to keep them going through Christmas. A second tranche of LTRO loans is planned to launch at the end of February, with expectations for size ranging from 300 billion to more than 1 trillion euros of uptake.2 The good news is that Italian, Portuguese and Spanish bond yields have dropped since the first LTRO went through, which suggests that at least some of the initial LTRO funds have been reinvested  back into sovereign debt auctions. The bad news is that the Eurozone banks may now be hooked on what is clearly a back-door quantitative easing (QE) program, and as the warning goes for addictive drugs - once you start, it can be very hard to stop.
Read more at Sprott.com

9 comments:

Not Sure said...

So, for instance, the ECB is taking on reduced value Greek bonds (and Greece's gold) to lend them more money and the FED is going to take those bonds and swap them for (monopoly) money?

And I thought I was being dishonest when I was shifting money from one credit card to another to avoid defaulting when I was jobless. I didn't realize how brilliant I am to be using the same strategy as the world central bankers! I should be getting millions in bonuses!

Oh yeah! That's right...I have a SOUL! No bonuses for me.

Anonymous said...

$40 silver will be here before we know it.
T

Anonymous said...

Anonymous said...
$40 silver will be here before we know it.
T

February 23, 2012 11:51 PM


a

at the least

Anonymous said...

Ahhhh C'mon! Some of us and ALL of 'em in China want to buy silver at $28.....

Anonymous said...

That $28 silver plan had a name: Dec 2011

Anonymous said...

That $35 an oz silver can be tricky and seductive. It seems like a breakout and the shorts knock it down. Maybe this time will be different. Maybe. I would not count on it.
Just saying.

Anonymous said...

I posted that a greek default would be deflationary. However, with the speed and volume of money printing, deflation will only happen(to our wallets) to us that cannot get the money.
The big boys can keep prices high for a long time. I think that looks good for silver and bad for regular folks.
-my2cents-

Anonymous said...

I expect silver to keep going up and probably reach 38 in the next couple of weeks. Once we hit the 40's all those noobs that bought in the 40's 9-10 months ago will be itch'n to get rid of some ounces. It'll get real bumpy once we get in the 40's. Patience will be needed. When we finally get past 50 and stabilize the real money will begin to be made. Keep on print'n Feds.

They had balls... said...

It took some balls to buy in in the 40's, so I think the few that sell to recover their fiat without profit should sell a tenth of the stack, take the fiat home and look at it along side what's left of their stack and decide which looks like a better investment. Shiny silver or a stinking pile of paper. Since they had such cojones to get in, I hope they will have the discipline to hold and make some profit, at least.
The sellers in the 40's this time will be selling Ag they bought in the teens or less.
We have to remember we're dealing with exceptional people here. Silver Bugs, by God.
We take the slights and insults with a little secret smile. I got ragged no end in '09 by some little statist pig at my job who I talked with about silver in the beginning. Now, I speak to no one. OP SEC and all that.

conax

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