Just when you thought you had seen it all with shills denigrating gold and silver with illogical and blatantly false arguments, we have this piece of brilliance from John Lindauer.
Lindauer informs us that the price of gold is on its way to the cost of storing it because gold is no longer used in dentistry for false teeth, and also because Asian women will soon be liquidating their gold jewelry for stocks and bank deposits. Oh, yeah, and he throws in the classic barbaric relic and earns no income lines too.
In the long run the price of gold can only go down. And it will keep going down until mining virtually stops. This will occur as the world's economies and banking systems continue to modernize and gold long-held in vaults to back currencies comes on the market. As it stands, in the long run the price of gold will almost certainly fall as the supply in the market continually increases far faster than the demand.
The long-run decline is under way for a number of reasons. For example, modern dentistry now relies on other commodities for false teeth; access to banks and stock markets and other assets is spreading rapidly in gold buying countries such India so that women, as women already do in the West, can now hold their assets in banks and securities and other assets instead of wearing them.
Also in the long run, the older less knowledgeable generations of Geithners and Ron Pauls will pass out of positions of power - so that the kinds of uncertainty and ignorant national and central bank decisions now triggering economic collapse, such as those now prevailing in the United States, will finally cease, thus ending the demand for gold as a safe haven for investor's wealth.
But the trend toward sustained prosperity is under way and it means significantly lower gold prices in the future as declining demand meets an increasing supply - not just from increased production through the use of modern mining techniques but also as nations sell their useless reserves and women in underdeveloped countries convert their gold jewelry to income-earning assets such as stocks and bank deposits. (editor note- when have you ever seen your own wife sell even a single piece of her own jewelry for stocks or bank deposits!?! Obviously this man has never been married!!)
Since the gold standard won't be back investors should be wary of buying gold or the shares of gold-related companies because someone claims gold will always have value, or suggests gold may again "back" the dollar or some other currency, or claims that having gold associated with our currency would somehow "fix" inflation or enhance the value of and stability of the dollar.
The reality of today's world is that gold won't return to its previous eminence and its long-run price prospects are poor.
The only thing certain is that long-term investors will lose as the price of gold continues to inexorably trend toward the cost of storing it. Long-term investors should sell their gold and gold-related stocks as soon as possible.
Read more of this brilliant analysis here
30 comments:
Yes, and the sugar plum fairies are on their way to make all our fiat dreams come true.
Wow! His ignorance is stunning!
I will place his name in the "Never listen to again" section of my roledex.
Aaaaaaahaaaaahahahahahahahahaahahahhhhhaaa! Oh, sorry. I got carried away. I thught the woman in the video shown here last week was the funniest. What did she say...." gold is not backed by anything". I cracked up. But this is absolutly hilarious. I would love to see Mr. Lindauers' portfolio. I'm sure he has a little gold somewhere. There's no way he believes himself.
Here's the deal. All of you that believe this junk can just send your gold to me so when it goes to zero I can hold it for you and there will be no storage fee.
These nuts are trying extremely hard to pry the PM's from the strong. With the comments made by Mr. Lindauer it is obvious the standard margin hikes are not as effective as they used to be. (Even though the hikes only reduce paper and not Phyzz). The weak are all but gone and strong gets stronger.
2 oz. per week
"These nuts are trying extremely hard to pry the PM's from the strong."
I think their efforts are primarily directed to keep the average sheeple from even thinking about dipping a toe in the PM market and hence learn more about it.
If they happen to convince a weak-hand to sell, that is just extra gravy.
Doc:
This is like #3 or 4. You need a "Hall of Infamy" to go along with your "Hall of Fame."
"Goldman Misses Top Line, Beats EPS On Comp Cut, Pays Average Employee $367,057 In 2011"
To anyone young thinking about joining Goldman for their 'good' pay, realize it's all because they are a part of the 'money' printing machine. They are in fact no better than anyone else, and morally and spiritually they are dead.
I agree with you on both points Swattsup. 1) Keeping the sheeple in the fence. 2)DOC's Haal of Imfamy. Maybe a daily doufus award with enoughs votes could qualify someone for tha "Hall".
2 oz.
The one grain of truth - if you filter this enough - is that perceptions do change over time, and that all markets are indeed cyclical.
Gold's bull run will indeed peak at some future point in time; it will end and the price will then decrease following that moment. But when this will occur is unclear, as the current fundamentals simply do not indicate a change in Gold's overall direction is yet on the horizon.
WOW! What a wonderful fairytale! Fiat paper will be the unfailing saviour and gold plus silver will become worthless or not worth keeping because it will cost as much to keep it as to buy it.
I will safely place this guy's reccomendation into my circular "file" and continue to buy these worthless precious metals. Anyone who feels that they need to follow this guy's advice,I will gladly pay you this rock solid fiat paper for your now worthless gold. :-)
You cannot tell me this isn't just a ruse to scare more people out of PMs and back into fiat. Just like the govt wants.Keep people hooked into that crack like addiction called fiat money.
The fact is,that PMs are what will preserve middle class wealth and they govt doesn't WANT middle class to survive so they manipulate the PMs and terrify people into staying with "safe and secure" govt controlled fiat funny money.
Doc, I tried to send the following reply to John, but could not. If you could forward my bet with him, I would appreciate it.
John,
Lets make a friendly wager. If gold closes for any one day below $1,400 this year I will buy you an American Gold Eagle (1 oz.) + the best steak dinner in Northwest Arkansas. However, if gold closes for any one day above $1,900 this year you will have to buy me an American Gold Eagle (1 oz.) + the best steak dinner in your home town. You are convinced gold will fall. I am convinced gold will rise and I am willing to put my money where my mouth is. Just email me: patsysacura@yahoo.com
Note his last line of the SEEKING Alpha profile:
"
Presently he is seeking co-investors to join him in funding high risk/high return micro-equity overseas investments. " LOL
This is the quality of the esteemed writers at SEEKING ALPHA.
Another article you might read I wrote on my blog today : http://www.denaliguidesummit.blogspot.com/2012/01/dirty-word-good-reason-for-nimby-but-is.html
Never believe anything in politics until it has been officially denied."
I was right this is John Howard Lindauer who lost the 1990 Alaska gubernatorial race to Tony Knowles, a rough-neck, oil-patch Democrat. I think Lindauer ran thru the family fortune, a chain of newspapers and wifey's as well, as I understand it. This guy is a very sincere loose cannon and a great contra indicator, IMO.
Now that, for me is the last laugh......
Here's one reason not to sell your metal. Trying to save dollars for the future is like carrying water in a sieve.
http://www.foodtimeline.org/foodfaq5.html#mcdonalds
"How much did a box of Kellogg's Corn Flakes cost?"
[1955] 12 oz, 19 cents
[2011] 12 oz., $3.79
Hershey Bar Index
[1955] 1 oz.....5 cents
[2011] 1.55 oz, .99
Go ahead and sell, the banks will give you paper money for it..
Heh, the dentistry dodge is a lie! Just two years ago my dentist put a gold crown on a molar I'd cracked. He said it was the best option for toughness and for long-term health.
I do limit my grinning, in practice for coming tough times. ;^)
Looks like they're printing doctorates as fast as they're printing money.
Has anyone thought about the possiblity of "currency" going digital?
This could put alot of pressure on the price/value of metals.
I'm looking at all angles here. FRN could very well be replaced by plastic chip embedded cards used as currency.
NWO would be able to track all transactions and tax with no underground economy to compete with.
Think about it for a minute, then laugh all you want.
Do you really think the PTB are going to leave an exit door open? If you believe that, you may have under-estimated the opposition.
Zero, time to load up the truck. Time to build a house of gold bricks.
Yeah, my wife's going to sell her Gold jewelry so we can buy B of A stock and load up the savings account for .001% interest. lol
Where does Lindnauer live...on the island of delusion ?
I'd like to see if he will take his wife's jewelry away to buy stocks.
What an idiot.
The Goldman Goons should cut out the middleman, the Fed, and just print their bonuses right off the presses.
Oh!
sorry
You mean they already do this?
Ok, sounds good. We'll take the gold since they think it's worthless. Gold is back by
nothing-----------------
Except----------------------
scroll down------
GOLD. GOLD AND
MORE GOLD.
LOVE IT!
The big fallacy in his argument is that if gold is worth nothing, why would you pay to store it?
Also, Gold has never, ever, been worth nothing.
Ordinary Joe
ZERO? I disagree strongly, and here's why:
Normally one would expect the 200-EMA and the 50-day MA lines to meet at the corner of the block right in front of Sam's butcher shop, but en route they are met with resistance by the Fibofaraci wave that's coming out of the French bakery next door, and the oven his hot. This is a rare event, the last having been recorded when my mom was pregnant with my little bro.
In summary, "zero" is wrong. "MINUS 7.5", I would say, but again, it may depend on the weather.
Sorry, but I must go now, as
They're coming to take me away, ha ha
They're coming to take me away, ho ho
Ho ho, ha ha, ha ha ho ho.
(signed) Prof.Lillyflower.
Doc,
I completely disagree with you're assessment of women... just last year my wife sold her wedding ring to buy some CDS on Greek debt. I thought she was crazy at the time but now that we're on the path to sustained prosperity I'm going to have to apologize to her.
@anonymous of 3:51 PM
CDS on Greek debt AND a free voluntary haircut is the way to go. Keeping a golden ring never gets you the latter.
I think his spell checker got mixed up between "gold" and "dollar". It should have said "Long term outlook for Dollar is zero".
Let's sell Lindnauer's wife to a Saudi prince
I hear that MILFS fetch much gold.
Just the insight I needed, explains everything!!
So that's why China imported 490 tonnes of gold last year (and that's only the official numbers), and explains why countries have been repatriating their gold from Yankee land.
Hell, the entire world has been wrong for 6000 years, give or take a few hundred years.
What a genius this guy is!! I'll go out and sell all the gold I don't have , right away.
Can I keep all the silver I do have?
Thanks Doc, these articles cheer me up to no end.
Darn...I was hoping the "Doc" would team up with me...heard on the greatest source of great info EVER (YouTube) about this deal...we trade all these crappy PMs hat have been taking up space-& buy tons of Iraqi Dinari! Maybe even some Zimbabwe Trillion Dollars while we're at it! Doc brings the popcorn, we'll put on YouTube & laugh at the idiots saying Gold would have to be $57,000 to equal JUST our official ($15trillion-not the actual $200 trillion-not counting the doc's derivatives he and his buddies stuck you suckers for-$200-$400Trillion, ya say, doc?) National debt-let alone GLOBAL...whoa-wtf's happening??the upside down bubble I was in popped, and now...I'm...floating back down to Earth...WHOA! My feet are...Grounding on the Earth-I remember this...we used to call it..um...REALITY-Whoa, that was a close one! Someone hand me some "junk silver" dimes-I just wanna hold 'em...where's Dorothy? Auntie Em?
I read some of this guy's other articles. All I can say is he is not an economics guru by any stretch. This fool thinks the economy is getting better. Go ahead, drink the arsenic cool aid.
ummmnum num num ill be growing the food charging 10oz once it all runs out, cause you guys need that more then the metal!! haha
“Turgot, the French statesman and financier, said---“SILVER AND GOLD BECAME UNIVERSAL MONEY BY THE NATURE AND FORCE OF THINGS” from which the deduction has been drawn that TO PROSCRIBE SILVER BY LAW FROM BEING USED AS MONEY, IS A VIOLATION OF THE NATURE OF THINGS."
---Mining Congress Journal, July 1933, page 8
Jim Sinclair recently disgraced himself by stating that silver is not money. His interview was boosted by Chris Powell of GATA!
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